Survival Gear

Threat Assessment – What are the most likely threats that you will face?

Threat Assessment on Whiteboard

Part of truly being prepared for anything, means knowing exactly what threats you’re facing, and then analyzing how those threats will affect you in the future. By performing a realistic threat assessment, you can get a better idea of what threats are out there, and then learn how to prepare for those threats in the future.

Performing a threat assessment will help you improve your ability to handle threats, manage threatening situations, and protect the people you love from harm.

There are three primary objectives when performing a threat assessment – Identify, Assess, and Manage.

IDENTIFY The Threats

The first step in analyzing your overall preparedness level is to identify the most likely threats that you will face.

What are the most likely threats that you will face? Who/What are the threats, and what are your vulnerabilities?

  • Natural disasters: What are the most likely disasters you will face based on your geographical location? (Hurricanes, Floods, Earthquakes, etc…)
  • SHTF scenarios: What do you believe are the greatest threats to you livelihood? (Economic collapse; political instability; chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear threats; riots; wars; etc…)
  • Personal Threats – Economic Problems, Job Loss, Home Invasions, Debt, etc..
  • Security: What are the largest security risks that you face in your area? (Gangs, Criminal Activity, issues effecting urban areas, etc…)
  • What are the immediate dangers in your location? Is there anything that stands out about your neighborhood? Are there obstacles or dangers that are specific to your geographical location that could leave you vulnerable? (terrorist threats, chemical and/or biological threats, threats to critical infrastructure, criminal activity, inadequate access to supply routes or escape routes during a disaster, etc…)

ASSESS The Threats

The next step is to assess how these dangers will affect you, and then figure out what needs to be protected?

  • How will each of the above listed threats affect you, your family, your property, and your survival plans?
  • How will each situation affect your overall preparedness efforts?
  • Are there any areas in your plans, security, or overall preparedness efforts that need to be addressed?
  • What steps do you need to take to protect yourself, your family and your property?

MANAGE The Threats

The final step is to take immediate protective actions that will help prevent, or minimize your exposure to these potential threats.

  • What can be done to minimize your risk?
  • Develop appropriate emergency response plans, and threat reduction strategies for each situation.
  • Are you prepared to Bug Out if the situation calls for that action?
  • IntelligenceThose that are truly prepared will seek information from multiple sources. Make sure you have a good way to gather information before and after a disaster hits. (BEFORE: Survival Websites, Books, Radio etc… AFTER: Personal Networks, Ham & Shortwave Radio, etc…)

39 Comments on Threat Assessment – What are the most likely threats that you will face?

  1. kYLE k

    I’m preparing for a number of threats:
    1. Natural Disasters – Earthquakes in my area
    2. Criminal Actions – Break-ins & Robberies
    3. Total Economic Collapse of America – I think it’s only a matter of time.
    4. Riots & Chaos on the Streets of America – Again only a matter of time and if you follow the news you will see that certain politicians are really pushing for this ahead of the elections
    5. Pandemic – We are long over due. Either natural causes or those released by terrorist of another government.
    6. TEOTWAWKI – Wouldn’t be a prepper if I didn’t consider this! I think all of the above in some form will come smashing together in the perfect SHTF storm.

    Hope that helps those that are getting started out. PREP!

    • Andy

      Jesus Knows all of These Things to Come.. if we do not follow his Path to Love, Welfare For All, Social Justice and a Family of Decency ! Repent Repent ! The Time is Near !

      • Billy W

        Common error. Jesus did not say the time is near. Jesus said the time is HERE.

        • Kathleen G

          Jesus said..”You will not know the time nor the day, I will come like a theif in the night!”

          We still clearly need to be prepared because this administration has nothing to give, and only takes…unless going on The View” is considered a press conference. I want my husband to clear out his 401K and invest in Gold,and things that have multiple purposes like the ability to make biodiesel, water and alcohol.

      • Cesar

        Jesus never taught social justice? Where the heck in the Bible Jesus said that? (The rich man does not count)

        • Tae

          No, no, no Jesus didn’t say anything like that, he said, “I will come if you pass me a beer.”

        • Chuck

          Noah was ther first survivalist,God didn’t tell him you sit over there and eat your cheese and drink your wine and watch what I do.He said build an ark and it took many………years too complete.and when/if Noah fell out from being so slappin wore out then I believe God steped in and helped.

    • Bren

      Prepping is s good thing, but having aholdout area is number 1

      • Dan

        Bren is right. Forget ’bout it. Take care of yourself and anyone else who chip’d in for the supplies and is of like mindiness. Anyone else could not be trusted under any circumstances unless you know them personally and are willing to turn you back on them while u grab some water and food for a meal and don’t think they gut u out.

        You folk will be surprise how fast people will turn on you when they are hungry thristy and scared. They will gut you out like a pig and leave you to bleed out on the floor while they take your stuff. All I can say is be careful of anyone after the SHTF if they are not part of your team.

      • Rigel Kent

        Good way to get killed bro. You will always be found and sooner or later more people with more guns will find and take what they want. Best to evade and survive and find a large group. Humans only last in groups. large groups. Small groups are taken out by larger groups. Or join other small groups to become large.

    • Gary Belcher

      An NBC attack may well occur in this nation. That has been fact for decades now.

      A natural attack such as a solar EMP or natural plague may also occur.

      Food riots could very easily occur.

      The greatest threat to our republic is the twin curse of ignorance and apathy. As long as our populace is more interested in Monday night football, the fate of the local team, and who is dancing with the stars, the bastards of totalitarianism will thrive.

      Wake up, start preparing, read the Constitution, and hope that mankind regrows a conscience.

      Good luck and God’s speed to you all.


      • chuck says

        Believe it once the magitude of the problem hits the people then stores will be open for cash sells only till empty,gas will sell for cash only (at a very high price)Those who didn’t and don’t have wil be planning againest those who have and did.oh one more thing since our national guard is mostly gone expect to see russian and other military troops come out to calm the masses,did i mention fema camps.

    • Bob

      I was staying in Studio City, CA during the Northridge quake in the mid-90’s. No electricity so no gas, only 10 people at a time in grocery stores, cell towers damaged so no cell phones. Not sure about land lines.

  2. Jake

    Prepping for the coming gun ban after the election by buying as much ammo and guns as I can get my hands on. Also prepping for collapse of currency, country and resources followed by major civil distress riots and war.

    People think I’m crazy but I really don’t care. All of these events have come about many times throughout history and there is no doubt they will come again. We have a dictator who has taken over the country and it’s coming folks.

    • Wake Up

      Your only crazy to the sheeple. Keep doing what your doing. I think you are spot on.

    • Fred

      Any predictions on what will be banned first? Lots to purchase, little to purchase it with.

      • Hisbilly

        the democrats will ban firearms, leaving us more vulunerable. and most likely the fucked up obama adminstration will make basic prepping a felony

        • James

          Certain parts of basic prepping is already illegal.
          Look at the number of places where you can’t garden in your front yard.
          The administration is already looking at people with more than a week of food as “hoarders”.

          • paul fain

            right on, clinton passed that fema could come in your home and seize any unneeded food/ supplies. socialist government says we only need 3 day supply

        • W. R. Vanderen

          They won’t ban guns they will just buy all the ammo ,guess we can use the guns as clubs! No ammo no gun threat .besides if you think a few thousand rounds of Ammo is going to protect you from a tank you better think again.

    • ana f

      i believe you cuz with gas going up and food going up and there is no form of way for us to get better and than guns being banned i think that will add up with stressng more people and they going to go against the goverment and that going to cast a war…that will nhit us hard the people..

    • Tae

      In worst case scenario: world collapse.

      Stock up on goodies -like scotch, whisky, red wine, tobacco, shoes, boots and other thins that can be bartered with in tough times.

      The first year will be messy – power issues, lawlessness, gangs and the like, then the diseases will run rampant, food, water, fuel shortages and possible canabalism as people spiral down.

      Then after year two, things will shift – people will once again regroup and work together. That’s a long two years though. Better have seeds to.

    • Bob

      I used to think a bank crisis was nuts but when I’ve heard about massive derivatives held by major banks, I have decided that is a real possibility.

  3. Bel

    I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.
    Albert Einstein

  4. old soldier

    The above comments are worthy of note. Though earthquakes are not a major issue in my area, hurricanes are as well as items 2 thru 6. Preparing for the coming gun ban is, of course, a major issue. Weapon and ammunition are starting to be put on back order, meaning it may take months or never before the items come in. I speak from experience. By the way , another word for the threat assessment is a vulnerability study or understanding where a person and his/her family are most vulnerable to damage. Wanted to share another item of note that is starting to come to the front: the incident in Florida is starting to escalate. I saw that the incident made front cover of People magazine, meaning alot of people are going to be influenced by what happened. Another item of note is I noticed this afternoon in a laundermat a poster advising people of a vigil service for the boy. The boy is pictured with Christ placing a cape around his neck with the caption “he now has a new hoodie.” In short, it think this could possibly lead to the rioting similar to that of 1968, In Shakespeare’s “Julius Caesar” swaying a mob by providing only the information the speaker wants them to know in order to follow his line of thinking is presented. I think that’s what is happening now ;one reason why I think we could see some rioting soon.

  5. tex

    Two words- Gun Nuts!

    • t

      But then I have something for them when they come- Bad Boys!

      • tex

        Mostly I plan on just lying low, well off the beaten track, waiting for all of the crazies to kill each other off or starve- should not take much longer than a year or 18 months.

        • Fred

          Good Advice!

        • James

          Sounds like good advice if you’re single. Heading for the hills and building a cabin deep in national forest land. Just watch out for illegals growing weed.

  6. ana f

    I’m preparing for the solar flare that going to takes us back to the stone ages and that when are goverment is going down and people are going to panic and start killing each other for food and water..that what im prepareing for…god wont get us is us the people that will kill each other for thing that we could of prepared ahead of time ..

  7. ana f

    what i’m preparing for the solar flare that going to takes us back to the stone ages and that when are goverment is going down and people are going to panic and start killing each other for food and water..that what im prepareing for…god wont get us is us the people that will kill each other for thing that we could of prepared ahead of time ..

  8. timbird

    there are only 3 things you need to survive food,water,shelter,if you think your going to the local lake to fish,there will be over 100 there already,its a fact people will migrate all over to look for food and water,yes there will be some nuts running about,common since is always your best weapon, grow a garden a 100 people will take from it and word will spread fast,if you stock pile food weapons dont let anybody know,or you will become the local store for a free for all,keep a low profile,

  9. I reckon the biggest threat i’m facing is the pending economic collapse . I’m in a middle level corporate job, which is great now, but I think i’m lacking in the basic “trade” skills. Improving software is a useless skill if there are no computers…. I think its time I learnt how to build stuff.


  10. Laura

    I think the economic collapse is going to come first…you see “we Buy Gold” places now more than ever. The government is going to try and get their hands on all the gold so we the people have nothing to bargain or trade with when the American dollar is worthless.

  11. Peter

    You guys are from America, it is a hell of a lot easier for you guys to prep, here in the U.K it is much harder, if I got caught with half of this stuff the no lawyer would be able to defend me. The best thing I have is my Military Training, and no government force or civilian can take this from me!

    Never Give up Lads, Never Surrender!

  12. Shirley Helms

    I think their are a number of things coming. Either the sun or a terrorist will take out our electric grid. Then there is the possibility of total economic collapse before that happens. Either way, hungry, desperate people are going to want your stuff. I live in the country on an easily defended hill. I have stocked up on all the essentials…even have bows for when the ammo runs out. I don’t think there will be much trading for a while…not until those that are unprepared have died off or killed each other.

  13. hawkeyes

    First: Pogo said it best (The Pogo Papers,Copyright 1952-1953):
    We have met the enemy…and he is us.

    If you don’t understand that, go back to chapter 1.

    The only thing I would add to this section is to know what you don’t have or what you need. Write it down, put it in your wallet or purse. When “the time comes”, or is getting close, go get those things on the list! If you can’t get everything on the list locally, get it/them NOW. The world won’t wait for Amazon.

  14. Jeremy Rivers

    Here where I live and I’m not going to give out the location we are faced with a number of problems.

    1. More earthquakes thanks to the fracking going on…
    2. Prone to flooding due to frequent storms in the spring time.
    3. We are also prone to tornadoes as well.
    4. High crime in my area. Lots of gangs and drug dealers. Plus the apartment complex next door to mine has a lot of these said drug dealers and prostitutes.

    5. There are a lot of crazy fucking people coming out of the wood work lately. Just within the past three weeks, I was been by two crazy women within the span of only four to five days.

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